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The frequency of Tay-Sachs carriers among Ashkenazi Jews is

 
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Hijeck
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 02, 2009 1:42 pm    Post subject: The frequency of Tay-Sachs carriers among Ashkenazi Jews is

The frequency of Tay-Sachs carriers among Ashkenazi Jews is 1/30. The frequency of Tay-Sachs carriers among whites of Western European descent is approximately 1/300. If a mother is an Ashkenazi Jew and a father is a white from Western Europe, what is the chance that a child of this union will have Tay-Sachs disease?
A. 1/120
B. 1/240
C. 1/3600
D. 1/9000
E. 1/36,000


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Hijeck
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 02, 2009 1:43 pm    Post subject:

To determine the joint probability of two or more independent events, the product of their separate probabilities must be determined. If the parents were both Ashkenazi Jews, they would have a 1/30 chance of carrying an abnormal gene for Tay-Sachs disease; for each pregnancy, they would have a ½ chance of passing that gene along should they carry it. The probability that all of these four independent events would occur is 1/30 x ½ x 1/30 x ½ = 1/3600. The joint probability for a mother who is an Ashkenazi Jew and a father who is not is1/30 x ½ x 1/300 x ½ = 1/36,000.


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